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Ryan Smuts: Interest rates are on the up

Interest rates are starting to track up leading to significant cost implications for property investors. Some specific issues to be mindful of: 1. Why are interest rates going up? Interest rate markets are already pricing in a 90% chance of a rise to the OCR in August! The recent RBNZ comments around the Large Scale Asset Purchase (effectively money printing) are also infl...
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{{name}} - APIA Auckland Property Investors

Kelvin Davidson: Inflation and interest rates take centre stage

What a change a few weeks can make. It was only a short time ago that some commentators were predicting that the official cash rate (OCR) wouldn’t start to rise until 2023 or even 2024, and the ‘consensus’ was for a rise in the second half of 2022. But that has all changed very rapidly, and now an OCR increase looks relatively likely for August 18th – i.e. only a few weeks from now....
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{{name}} - APIA Auckland Property Investors

Kelvin Davidson: It’s been an unprecedented year – the swings and roundabouts of 2020

Thinking back to the start of 2020, nobody could have anticipated what was about to playout for the economy or the property market. But after a lot of uncertainty and conjecture about what the future might hold, we’re almost at the end of the year and it’s remarkable to see that house sales and prices are on a strong upswing. Indeed, the number of...
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{{name}} - APIA Auckland Property Investors

OCR predictions - should they be taken seriously?

This week's question comes from Pat (paraphrased): The Internet is riddled with OCR predictions. Every commentator sounds just as learned and trustworthy as the next. How seriously should property investors take these predictions? To answer this question, we've turned to Ryan Smuts from Kris Pedersen Mortgages & Insurance. Ryan, take it away! 'While ...
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{{name}} - APIA Auckland Property Investors

Ryan Smuts: What investors need to know about the recent OCR cut

The OCR has been cut recently by 0.5% - a lot higher than many economists were initially expecting. What might this mean for the borrower? Over the last fortnight, we at the Kris Pedersen Mortgages team have seen some key effects come into play: across the market floating rates have dropped and in many cases, as much as 0.5%. Lenders like ASB for example took their floating rate down f...
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{{name}} - APIA Auckland Property Investors

Get ready for interest rate hikes

With interest rates having remained suppressed for as long as they have, chances are many investors are not entirely prepared for the coming rate rises. And rise they will. There is nothing sinister or extraordinary happening. The same economic entropy that has been pushing the rates down for so long is also responsible for nudging them upwards in recent months. And it is ha...
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{{name}} - APIA Auckland Property Investors

OCR increase - a sign of things to come?

Interest is without a doubt the biggest expense for most, if not all, property investors. A movement, however slight, in the OCR can have real consequences for property investors. It is perhaps unsurprising then that the latest increase in OCR announced by the Reserve Bank once again propels interest rates into the national psyche. Still, yesterday's Monetary Policy State...
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{{name}} - APIA Auckland Property Investors

Is Auckland Homeownership The Impossible Dream?

A month into the new banking era of mortgage lending caps, I am already hearing anecdotal tales of quieter open homes, vacated auction rooms, and buyer frustrations. Whereas previously the housing market rivalled that of supermarket frenzies witnessed every 24th of December, now there is an eerily silent scene awaiting vendors and agents. I am confident that in the coming weeks there will ...
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{{name}} - APIA Auckland Property Investors

No Silver Bullet: LVR Restrictions and the Role of the Reserve Bank in the Auckland Housing Crisis

In his address to the Property Council Of New Zealand yesterday, Deputy Reserve Bank Governor Grant Spencer gave a broad-view digest into the current housing supply pressure faced by New Zealanders, in particular, Aucklanders and Cantabrians. The Reserve Bank is under no disillusionment that LVR Restrictions are the silver bullet to the current market challenges, nor had it ever expected...
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{{name}} - APIA Auckland Property Investors

A Message For First Home Buyers - Warning. Reality Check Ahead.

I scratch my head every time a first-home buyer gets into the media and paints her position as nothing more than a Dickensian victim; marginalised by society and grasping at straws. Apparently, if newspapers and televisions are to be believed, half a million dollars will not get anyone a single house in Auckland. Not one jot. Just last week, I sat through a Barfoot auction in the CBD and...
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